Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.130108 3.670759 4.246841 4.903267 5.627401 6.398831 7.279731
2024-11-03 2.375614 3.120973 3.975097 5.012855 6.226231 7.587211 9.216058
2024-11-10 1.836468 2.690826 3.738298 5.084814 6.737704 8.669805 11.067503
2024-11-17 1.373070 2.253168 3.407925 4.974287 6.984272 9.420586 12.538794
2024-11-24 1.023715 1.888632 3.102969 4.836276 7.152196 10.050521 13.859605
2024-12-01 0.791343 1.637749 2.904790 4.798446 7.419088 10.788542 15.314702
2024-12-08 0.606153 1.415781 2.709262 4.730556 7.621445 11.431162 16.649890
2024-12-15 0.522577 1.344274 2.724647 4.954193 8.219439 12.597991 18.677996
2024-12-22 0.419653 1.212048 2.623097 4.988014 8.542243 13.397908 20.237909
2024-12-29 0.373628 1.179587 2.678455 5.258285 9.206685 14.670849 22.443984
2025-01-05 0.325952 1.131588 2.698803 5.469521 9.786985 15.837501 24.526809
2025-01-12 0.270052 1.049613 2.646709 5.555938 10.179257 16.746919 26.275041
2025-01-19 0.203465 0.922012 2.496906 5.475413 10.324371 17.326362 27.608355
2025-01-26 0.168937 0.866804 2.478460 5.613106 10.806882 18.395708 29.635910
2025-02-02 0.136251 0.803746 2.434531 5.700391 11.209851 19.356306 31.527016
2025-02-09 0.096962 0.698501 2.284826 5.585134 11.282114 19.832949 32.745937
2025-02-16 0.065524 0.598215 2.126760 5.437568 11.289457 20.207058 33.819824
2025-02-23 0.046187 0.530885 2.031730 5.397523 11.466288 20.831515 35.254704
2025-03-02 0.030680 0.464516 1.925436 5.324294 11.580083 21.358521 36.553304
2025-03-09 0.026409 0.459550 1.977025 5.567273 12.236748 22.721502 39.078361
2025-03-16 0.018594 0.420322 1.929375 5.604076 12.538069 23.543497 40.826199
2025-03-23 0.016652 0.424622 2.004023 5.897106 13.291239 25.073566 43.626596
2025-03-30 0.013920 0.418480 2.047446 6.125862 13.936522 26.445124 46.209365